[CI] Unofficial analysis

[Jim Slotek]

So if I'm reading you correctly, the team with the most points gets in on that basis regardless of whether they are also the division leader? Ie., if Axxe loses to the Suspects on Monday and the Mods win, they would overtake Axxe in the standings. But if the Mods still have the most points, Axxe would be the de facto division leaders despite having the second best record?Jim

> To: inquisition at cfaj.ca
> Date: Fri, 3 Dec 2010 09:44:26 -0500
> From: msb at vex.net
> Subject: [CI] Unofficial analysis
> 
> THE FINAL
> 
> [0] This analysis was done by a human and is subject to human error,
>     without reading any amateur :-) responses that were being posted
>     while I was writing it.  I am assuming that no team in contention
>     will outscore another by more than 30 points.
> 
>     In addition, the analysis is based on the Game 9 standings as
>     distributed by Chris.  He didn't say anything about protests,
>     so if any protests are being accepted and were not taken into
>     account, this may affect the numbers of points mentioned below.
> 
> [1] What She Said have clinched a berth in the Final.  The other
>     berths will depend on the wild-card race.  The teams within
>     30 points of the lead are:
> 
>        Misplaced Modifiers   leading
>        What She Said         16 points behind
>        Cellar Rats           24 points behind
>        Unnatural Axxe        29 points behind
> 
>     As it happens, the top two teams in this list are playing each
>     other in a cross-divisional game in Game 10.
> 
> [2] If Mods retain the wild-card lead *or* if Axxe outscore Mods by
>     29 points and take the wild-card berth, then Axxe, Mods, and
>     What are in.
> 
> [3] If What beat Mods by 16 points or more and nobody else overtakes
>     both teams for the wild-card lead, then Axxe, What, and Night Owls
>     are in.
> 
> [4] If Rats outscore Mods by 25 points and take the wild-card berth,
>     and What beat Mods, then Rats, Axxe, and What are in.
> 
> [5] If Rats outscore Mods by 25 points and take the wild-card berth,
>     but Mods nevertheless beat or tie What, then Rats and What are in,
>     but the third team could be Axxe or Mods.  This scenario is
>     unlikely enough that I won't go into further detail.
> 
> 
> PROMOTION AND RELEGATION
> 
> [0] This analysis assumes that no teams enter or leave the league.
>     Again, it is assumed that no team in "contention" for relegation
>     will outscore another by more than 30 points.  Five Guys Named
>     Moe will return to the Torquemada Division and the Usual Suspects,
>     now in the Torquemada, will be the next question-setters.
> 
> [1] What She Said are promoted to the Torquemada Division.
> 
> [2] 5 Easy Pieces are relegated to the Jaworski Division.
> 
> [3] If Axxe beat Suspects in Game 10, *and* 5 Easy Pieces beat Rica's
>     Pieces in Game 10 while also outscoring Suspects by 27 points,
>     then Suspects are also relegated and will be in the Jaworski
>     Division when they return to play.
> 
> 
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