[CI] Unofficial analysis
Mark Brader
msb at vex.net
Fri Dec 3 08:44:26 CST 2010
THE FINAL
[0] This analysis was done by a human and is subject to human error,
without reading any amateur :-) responses that were being posted
while I was writing it. I am assuming that no team in contention
will outscore another by more than 30 points.
In addition, the analysis is based on the Game 9 standings as
distributed by Chris. He didn't say anything about protests,
so if any protests are being accepted and were not taken into
account, this may affect the numbers of points mentioned below.
[1] What She Said have clinched a berth in the Final. The other
berths will depend on the wild-card race. The teams within
30 points of the lead are:
Misplaced Modifiers leading
What She Said 16 points behind
Cellar Rats 24 points behind
Unnatural Axxe 29 points behind
As it happens, the top two teams in this list are playing each
other in a cross-divisional game in Game 10.
[2] If Mods retain the wild-card lead *or* if Axxe outscore Mods by
29 points and take the wild-card berth, then Axxe, Mods, and
What are in.
[3] If What beat Mods by 16 points or more and nobody else overtakes
both teams for the wild-card lead, then Axxe, What, and Night Owls
are in.
[4] If Rats outscore Mods by 25 points and take the wild-card berth,
and What beat Mods, then Rats, Axxe, and What are in.
[5] If Rats outscore Mods by 25 points and take the wild-card berth,
but Mods nevertheless beat or tie What, then Rats and What are in,
but the third team could be Axxe or Mods. This scenario is
unlikely enough that I won't go into further detail.
PROMOTION AND RELEGATION
[0] This analysis assumes that no teams enter or leave the league.
Again, it is assumed that no team in "contention" for relegation
will outscore another by more than 30 points. Five Guys Named
Moe will return to the Torquemada Division and the Usual Suspects,
now in the Torquemada, will be the next question-setters.
[1] What She Said are promoted to the Torquemada Division.
[2] 5 Easy Pieces are relegated to the Jaworski Division.
[3] If Axxe beat Suspects in Game 10, *and* 5 Easy Pieces beat Rica's
Pieces in Game 10 while also outscoring Suspects by 27 points,
then Suspects are also relegated and will be in the Jaworski
Division when they return to play.
More information about the Inquisition
mailing list